Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.047147 0.055044 0.063724 0.073955 0.085666 0.098632 0.114057
2025-03-30 0.035950 0.046432 0.059022 0.075182 0.095292 0.119401 0.150400
2025-04-06 0.027313 0.038639 0.053361 0.073729 0.100976 0.135940 0.183935
2025-04-13 0.021388 0.032866 0.048887 0.072579 0.106349 0.152310 0.219041
2025-04-20 0.018431 0.030462 0.048334 0.076329 0.118456 0.178711 0.270399
2025-04-27 0.015922 0.028150 0.047382 0.079125 0.129279 0.204262 0.323192
2025-05-04 0.012992 0.024544 0.043756 0.077113 0.132336 0.218444 0.360466
2025-05-11 0.010923 0.021952 0.041270 0.076409 0.137110 0.235426 0.403373
2025-05-18 0.009031 0.019286 0.038178 0.074120 0.138793 0.247394 0.439162
2025-05-25 0.007593 0.017185 0.035719 0.072504 0.141262 0.260654 0.478018
2025-06-01 0.006642 0.015861 0.034480 0.072889 0.147203 0.280199 0.529049
2025-06-08 0.005608 0.014151 0.032196 0.070907 0.148449 0.291469 0.566459
2025-06-15 0.005197 0.013769 0.032604 0.074415 0.160725 0.324109 0.645677
2025-06-22 0.004591 0.012811 0.031645 0.074979 0.167289 0.346816 0.708792
2025-06-29 0.003906 0.011512 0.029715 0.073189 0.168848 0.360112 0.755383
2025-07-06 0.003358 0.010437 0.028114 0.071873 0.171195 0.375086 0.806415
2025-07-13 0.003162 0.010270 0.028648 0.075496 0.184539 0.413205 0.906125
2025-07-20 0.002935 0.009967 0.028794 0.078214 0.196162 0.448774 1.003507
2025-07-27 0.002517 0.009003 0.027089 0.076197 0.196820 0.461460 1.055016
2025-08-03 0.002211 0.008309 0.025976 0.075488 0.200397 0.480623 1.121494
2025-08-10 0.001891 0.007484 0.024353 0.073218 0.199965 0.490944 1.169887
2025-08-17 0.001638 0.006818 0.023058 0.071616 0.200951 0.504442 1.226143
2025-08-24 0.001476 0.006431 0.022517 0.071995 0.206915 0.529701 1.310230